Market
What method will be used in the next major Ukrainian sabotage operation by March 31, 2025?
2
Ukrainian•Russian•Zaporizhzhia•Security Service of Ukraine•SBU•Defense Intelligence•HUR•Special Operations Forces•Crimea•Ukrainian military
Resolution / Starting Odds
Explosives • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Infiltration and direct assault • 25%
Official statements from Ukrainian military or intelligence, supported by news reports
Story
On December 14, 2024, Ukrainian Forces Destroy Russian Train with 40 Fuel Tanks in $4 Million Operation in Zaporizhzhia Region
Dec 15, 2024, 01:02 PM
On December 14, 2024, Ukrainian forces successfully executed a multi-phase special operation in the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia region, resulting in the destruction of a Russian train carrying 40 fuel tanks valued at $4 million. The operation, conducted by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), Defense Intelligence (HUR), and Special Operations Forces, aimed to disrupt fuel supplies from Crimea to the front lines. The Ukrainian military utilized explosives to detonate the railway tracks, effectively halting the logistical route for Russian forces. This operation marks a significant escalation in Ukrainian sabotage efforts within occupied territories, demonstrating increased operational boldness against Russian military logistics.
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Cyber attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Drone attacks • 25%
HIMARS strikes • 25%
Special operations forces • 25%
Railway infrastructure in Crimea • 25%
Other • 25%
Military base in Chechnya • 25%
Energy infrastructure in Russia • 25%
Energy infrastructure • 25%
Other • 25%
Military facilities • 25%
Civilian infrastructure • 25%
Artillery • 25%
Other • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
FPV Drones • 25%
Electronic Surveillance • 25%
Human Intelligence • 25%
Cyber Espionage • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Civilian infrastructure • 25%
Defense industry facility • 25%
Military airfield • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Cyber defense measures • 25%
International military support • 25%
Improved air defense systems • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%