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What level of advancement will China achieve in cognitive warfare by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant advancements • 25%
Moderate advancements • 25%
Minor advancements • 25%
No advancements • 25%
Reports from the Pentagon or credible defense analysis
Story
Pentagon Report: China Expands Nuclear Arsenal to 600 Warheads, Increased from 500 and Tripled Over Four Years
Dec 18, 2024, 03:06 PM
According to a recent Pentagon report, China is rapidly expanding its nuclear arsenal, adding hundreds of new missiles and increasing its operational nuclear warheads from 500 to 600 in the past year. This military buildup is characterized by a focus on strategic counterbalance, with the Rocket Force emphasizing its mission to moderate adversaries' approaches toward China. The report highlights that China's nuclear stockpile has nearly tripled over the past four years, now totaling 600 nuclear warheads. The Pentagon's findings also include new insights into China's cognitive warfare capabilities.
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Moderate Influence • 25%
Minimal Influence • 25%
No Influence • 25%
AI in naval technology • 25%
AI in aerial technology • 25%
AI in ground forces technology • 25%
Other AI advancements • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Nuclear capabilities • 25%
Space capabilities • 25%
Conventional forces • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Stealth capabilities • 25%
Increased payload • 25%
Extended range • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Moderate Increase • 25%
Significant Increase • 25%
No Change • 25%
Naval Forces • 25%
Nuclear Arsenal • 25%
Cyber Capabilities • 25%
Air Force • 25%
Sanctions on U.S. firms • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
ICBM Development • 25%
Conventional Forces • 25%
Nuclear Arsenal • 25%
Cognitive Warfare • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New diplomatic agreements • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%