Will China increase its nuclear arsenal to 700 warheads by the end of 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Pentagon or other credible defense reports on China's nuclear capabilities
Pentagon Report: China Expands Nuclear Arsenal to 600 Warheads, Increased from 500 and Tripled Over Four Years
Dec 18, 2024, 03:06 PM
According to a recent Pentagon report, China is rapidly expanding its nuclear arsenal, adding hundreds of new missiles and increasing its operational nuclear warheads from 500 to 600 in the past year. This military buildup is characterized by a focus on strategic counterbalance, with the Rocket Force emphasizing its mission to moderate adversaries' approaches toward China. The report highlights that China's nuclear stockpile has nearly tripled over the past four years, now totaling 600 nuclear warheads. The Pentagon's findings also include new insights into China's cognitive warfare capabilities.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
1,000 or more • 25%
900 • 25%
800 • 25%
700 • 25%
900 or more • 25%
Less than 700 • 25%
700 to 799 • 25%
800 to 899 • 25%
Minor advancements • 25%
Significant advancements • 25%
No advancements • 25%
Moderate advancements • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
US increases military presence in Asia • 25%
New international treaty discussions • 25%