Market
What changes in global nuclear arms control agreements will occur due to the Oreshnik system by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
New agreement signed • 25%
Existing agreement revised • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official international arms control agreements or treaties
Story
Putin: Oreshnik Missile System Minimizes Need for Nuclear Weapons Amid Doctrine Improvement
Dec 10, 2024, 03:39 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated that the development and deployment of the Oreshnik missile system could significantly reduce the necessity for Russia to rely on nuclear weapons. Putin emphasized that Russia is not hardening its nuclear doctrine but rather improving it, suggesting that the focus should now be on enhancing the Oreshnik missile rather than the nuclear doctrine itself. He mentioned that a sufficient number of these modern weapon systems would bring Russia to the brink of not needing nuclear weapons at all. This shift in strategy comes amidst skepticism regarding the credibility of Russia's nuclear threats and the effectiveness of the Oreshnik missile system.
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No significant impact • 25%
New arms control agreements negotiated • 25%
Existing agreements strengthened • 25%
Existing agreements weakened • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Formal reduction in nuclear arsenal • 25%
No change in nuclear doctrine • 25%
Increased reliance on hypersonic missiles • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
New Treaty Signed • 25%
Other • 25%
No New Agreements • 25%
Renewal of INF Treaty • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No Action • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement on missile limitations • 25%