Market
What actions will Taiwan take in response to the undersea cable incident by mid-2025?
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Taiwan•Cameroonian•Keelung Harbor•Hong Kong•Chinese•Coast Guard Administration•CGA•Keelung•Chunghwa Telecom•South Korea•Busan•Taipei•Baltic Sea
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military patrols • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
New cybersecurity measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official policy announcements or press releases from Taiwan's government
Story
Taiwan Accuses Chinese-Owned Shunxin-39, Registered Under Cameroonian Flag, of Sabotaging Undersea Cable
Jan 6, 2025, 03:23 AM
Taiwan has accused a Chinese-owned cargo vessel, the Shunxin-39, registered under the Cameroonian flag, of damaging an undersea cable near its northeastern coast on Friday. The incident, which occurred near Keelung Harbor, is suspected to be an act of sabotage. The vessel, owned by a Hong Kong-registered company with a director who is a Chinese citizen, was ordered by Taiwan's Coast Guard Administration (CGA) to return to waters off Keelung port for investigation. The damaged cable, operated by Chunghwa Telecom, did not affect domestic communications due to the availability of backup equipment. Taiwan has sought assistance from South Korea in investigating the incident, as the Shunxin-39 is heading to Busan. The incident raises concerns about the vulnerability of Taipei's offshore communications infrastructure and follows similar incidents involving Chinese vessels in the Baltic Sea.
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Increased maritime security measures • 25%
No additional actions taken • 25%
Legal actions against Shunxin39 • 25%
Diplomatic actions against China • 25%
International cooperation agreements • 25%
Installation of physical barriers • 25%
Increased surveillance measures • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Denies involvement • 25%
Other response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Admits involvement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Court ruling • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Intentional sabotage by Shunxin39 • 25%
Accidental damage by Shunxin39 • 25%
Cause remains undetermined • 25%
Involvement of another entity • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Financial penalty • 25%
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No penalty • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant action • 25%
Legal action against Shunxing39 • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Other actions • 25%