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What actions will Israel take towards Iran in 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Overthrow attempt • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government and credible international news outlets
Story
Israel Aims to Overthrow Iran, Block Palestine State Under Trump
Dec 10, 2024, 07:04 PM
Israel's Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, who is also a member of the country's domestic security cabinet, has stated that the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump next month as President of the United States presents an opportunity for Israel to pursue several strategic objectives. These include the overthrow of the Iranian government, preventing the establishment of a Palestinian state, and banning the reconstruction of houses and villages destroyed by Israel in Lebanon along the border. Smotrich highlighted these goals in comments to Bloomberg.
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Air strikes on Iranian targets • 25%
No military action • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Strike is canceled • 25%
Strike occurs and is successful • 25%
Strike occurs but is unsuccessful • 25%
Strike is postponed indefinitely • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Strike postponed • 25%
No decision • 25%
Strike rejected • 25%
Strike approved • 25%
Strike called off • 25%
Strike delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Strike executed successfully • 25%