Market
Votes in favor of term limit amendment in Turkish parliament by end of 2026
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 300 • 25%
300 to 359 • 25%
360 or more • 25%
No Vote Held • 25%
Official records from the Turkish parliament, reported by major news outlets
Story
Erdoğan Signals 2028 Presidential Run, Hinges on Constitutional Change or Early Elections
Jan 12, 2025, 09:25 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan indicated his willingness to run for another term in the 2028 presidential elections during a conversation with the popular Turkish singer Ibrahim Tatlıses at a cultural event in the city of Aydın. The exchange took place where Tatlıses asked Erdoğan if he would be present for the next term. Erdoğan responded affirmatively, stating, 'If you are there, I am there.' This marks the first time Erdoğan has publicly hinted at running for office again, despite the Turkish Constitution prohibiting a third term. For Erdoğan to run in 2028, either a constitutional amendment would be required or early elections would need to be called, which would necessitate 360 votes from the 600 members of the Turkish parliament.
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No party initiates • 25%
Other parties • 25%
Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) • 25%
Justice and Development Party (AKP) • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Propose alternative candidate • 25%
Oppose constitutional amendment • 25%
Support constitutional amendment • 25%
Constitutional amendment passed • 25%
Early elections called • 25%
Announces candidacy • 25%
Does not announce candidacy • 25%
No Legislation Introduced • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Legislation Introduced but Not Passed • 25%
Legislation Passed • 25%
Non-consecutive terms not allowed • 25%
Non-consecutive terms allowed • 25%
Other • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
No prominent support • 25%
A prominent political outsider • 25%
A current Congress member • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
No significant involvement • 25%
Passes new legislation for peace • 25%
Holds official peace talks • 25%
Other involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Good Party (İYİ) • 25%
Justice and Development Party (AKP) • 25%
Republican People's Party (CHP) • 25%