Market
Constitutional amendment for third presidential term in Turkey by end of 2026?
3
Turkish•Tayyip Erdogan•AKP•Şanlıurfa•Erdogan•Ibrahim Tatlıses•Turkish Constitution•Nationalist Movement Party•MHP•Devlet Bahçeli
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official records from the Turkish Parliament, Turkish news agencies
Story
Erdogan Hints at 2028 Presidential Run During Şanlıurfa Event
Jan 12, 2025, 04:49 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has indicated the possibility of running for a third term in the 2028 presidential elections. Speaking at the 8th Provincial Congress of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) in Şanlıurfa, Erdogan responded to a question from prominent Turkish singer Ibrahim Tatlıses about his potential candidacy, saying, "If you are for it, then I am for it." This marks the first time Erdogan has publicly suggested his interest in another term. However, the Turkish Constitution currently prohibits a third presidential term. To enable his candidacy, either a constitutional amendment or early elections would be necessary. Early elections require the approval of 360 out of 600 parliamentary members, a majority the AKP and its coalition partner, the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), do not currently hold. MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli has previously expressed support for a constitutional revision to allow Erdogan to run again.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Amendment Passed • 33%
Amendment Rejected • 33%
No Vote Held • 34%
360 or more • 25%
Less than 300 • 25%
300 to 359 • 25%
No Vote Held • 25%
Other • 25%
Non-consecutive terms allowed • 25%
Non-consecutive terms not allowed • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
