Market
Opposition control percentage in Venezuelan National Assembly by December 31, 2025
3
Venezuelan National Assembly•Jorge Rodríguez•Nicolás Maduro•Rodríguez•Maduro•Pedro Infante•América Pérez•María Alejandra Hernández•José Omar Molina
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 25% • 25%
25% to 50% • 25%
51% to 75% • 25%
More than 75% • 25%
Official reports from the Venezuelan National Assembly or major news outlets
Story
Venezuelan National Assembly Ratifies Jorge Rodríguez for Fifth Consecutive Year as President Ahead of Maduro's Inauguration
Jan 5, 2025, 04:26 PM
The Venezuelan National Assembly has ratified Jorge Rodríguez as its president for the 2025-2026 legislative term, marking his fifth consecutive year in the position. The ratification occurred during the assembly's opening session for the new legislative period, five days before the scheduled inauguration of President Nicolás Maduro. Rodríguez, a close ally of Maduro, was confirmed alongside Pedro Infante and América Pérez as first and second vice presidents, respectively, with María Alejandra Hernández and José Omar Molina appointed as secretary and subsecretary. The assembly's decision to maintain its leadership, dominated by a majority officialist bloc, comes amidst ongoing political tensions, with the opposition claiming electoral fraud in the recent presidential election that saw Maduro proclaimed as the winner with 52% of the votes.
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Other • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%
61% - 70% • 25%
50% - 60% • 25%
Edmundo González returns and is sworn in • 25%
Opposition forms government-in-exile • 25%
Opposition calls for new elections • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Street protests • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Armed conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Leopoldo López • 25%
Edmundo González Urrutia • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other • 25%
Opposition gains significant political concessions • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New elections announced • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
No Leadership Elected • 25%
Pro-Maduro Candidate • 25%
Independent Candidate • 25%
Opposition Candidate • 25%
Protests result in significant international sanctions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Protests are suppressed without major outcomes • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Edmundo González assumes presidency • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%