Market
US identifies primary method of China's diaspora espionage by end of 2025?
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China•United States•United Kingdom•Chinese•Communist Party•The Economist•Party•Chinese Communist Party•United Front Work Department•Lady Bates•Tory
Resolution / Starting Odds
Coercion and threats • 25%
Financial incentives • 25%
Cultural and educational exchanges • 25%
No clear method identified • 25%
Official US government reports or credible investigative journalism
Story
China Allegedly Recruits Diaspora for Espionage; Lady Bates Cut Ties with Groups in 2020
Dec 29, 2024, 09:38 AM
Recent reports have highlighted China's alleged use of its diaspora for espionage activities in the United States and the United Kingdom. Investigations reveal that many overseas Chinese individuals may be unwittingly recruited as agents, with their involvement often blurring the lines between voluntary support for the Communist Party and coercion. The Economist noted that some members of the diaspora are genuine supporters of the Party, motivated by business interests in China. Concerns have escalated regarding the tactics employed by the Chinese Communist Party's United Front Work Department, which reportedly utilizes both incentives and pressures to engage individuals in espionage. Amid these revelations, Lady Bates, a Tory peer, disclosed that she severed ties with China-linked groups in 2020 after becoming aware of potential espionage risks. This situation underscores the growing scrutiny of China's influence operations abroad.
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Similar markets
Online platforms • 25%
In-person recruitment • 25%
Through educational institutions • 25%
Other methods • 25%
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Cyber Retaliation • 25%
Increased Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Increased cyber defense funding • 25%
International cyber cooperation agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
New cybersecurity legislation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Transportation • 25%
Energy • 25%
Banking • 25%
Telecommunications • 25%
Germany • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Other methods • 25%
Deepfakes • 25%
Social media manipulation • 25%
Hacking and data breaches • 25%