Market
Resolution of North Korean POWs' Status by September 30, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Granted Asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Transferred to Third Country • 25%
Status Unchanged • 25%
Official announcements from Ukrainian government or major international news outlets
Story
Zelensky Proposes Swap of North Korean POWs Captured in Kursk for Ukrainians Held by Russia
Jan 12, 2025, 07:30 PM
On Sunday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine is ready to hand over captured North Korean soldiers to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in exchange for Ukrainian soldiers held captive in Russia. Zelensky shared footage of the first interrogation of the North Korean soldiers, who were captured by Ukrainian forces during combat operations in Russia's Kursk region. He stated that for those North Korean soldiers who do not wish to return, alternative arrangements can be made. This proposal highlights the involvement of North Korean troops fighting alongside Russian forces in the conflict.
View original story
Similar markets
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Trial in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Deportation to North Korea • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
Soldiers returned to North Korea • 25%
Soldiers granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Held indefinitely in Ukraine • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
No response • 25%
Demand for return • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Defected to South Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Remained in Ukraine • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Returned without exchange • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Exchange for Ukrainian POWs • 25%
Other • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Defects to Ukraine • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
No comment • 25%
Accusation of misinformation • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Admission and justification • 25%