Market
Recipients of Biden's Preemptive Pardons by January 20, 2025
5
Biden•Anthony Fauci•Adam Schiff•Liz Cheney•January 6th Committee•Politico•Jack Smith•Merrick Garland•Trump•White House•Ed Siskel•Jeff Zients•Hunter
Resolution / Starting Odds
Dr. Anthony Fauci • 25%
Representative Adam Schiff • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
None of the above • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or legal documents confirming the issuance of pardons
Story
Biden Weighs Preemptive Pardons for Fauci, Schiff, Cheney, January 6 Committee Members Before Trump Takes Office
Dec 4, 2024, 11:05 PM
Senior aides within the Biden administration are reportedly debating the issuance of preemptive pardons for current and former officials, including Dr. Anthony Fauci, Representative Adam Schiff, former Representative Liz Cheney, and members of the January 6th Committee. According to multiple reports, including Politico, the discussions stem from concerns that these individuals, along with figures like Special Counsel Jack Smith and Attorney General Merrick Garland, could be targeted for prosecution by the incoming Trump administration. The deliberations, led by White House Counsel Ed Siskel and Chief of Staff Jeff Zients, reflect deep concerns among Biden's aides over potential politically motivated investigations. There is also speculation that President Biden himself and his son Hunter could be included in the list of pardons. The consideration of such preemptive pardons marks an extraordinary step as President Biden's term nears its end.
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Similar markets
Multiple or none • 25%
Schiff only • 25%
Cheney only • 25%
Fauci only • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Former government officials • 25%
Politicians • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
None • 25%
Adam Schiff • 25%
Mark Milley • 25%
Anthony Fauci • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Bennie Thompson only • 25%
Multiple committee members • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
Other individuals not on the committee • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Anthony Fauci • 25%
Three or more • 25%
Two • 25%
One • 25%
None • 25%
Medical experts • 25%
Political figures • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both • 25%
More than two • 25%
Two • 25%
One • 25%
None • 25%
11-15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
0-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Dr. Anthony Fauci • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both Cheney and Fauci • 25%
Other • 25%
Activists • 25%
Family members • 25%
Political allies • 25%
Only Schiff receives a pardon • 25%
Only Fauci receives a pardon • 25%
All three receive pardons • 25%
Only Cheney receives a pardon • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Adam Schiff • 25%
Anthony Fauci • 25%
Mark Milley • 25%