Market
Number of individuals Biden pardons preemptively before January 20, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
One • 25%
Two • 25%
More than two • 25%
Official announcement from the White House or a list of presidential pardons
Story
Biden Considers Preemptive Pardons for Liz Cheney, Anthony Fauci Before January 20
Jan 8, 2025, 04:37 PM
President Joe Biden is considering issuing preemptive pardons to individuals targeted by President-elect Donald Trump, including former Representative Liz Cheney and public health official Dr. Anthony Fauci. Biden has not made a final decision on these pardons, stating that his decision might depend on the positions Trump appoints. Biden has warned Trump against seeking retribution against political foes, emphasizing that such actions would be counterproductive. The president has until Trump's inauguration on January 20 to issue these pardons.
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6-10 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
0-5 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
2-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
0 • 25%
1 • 25%
Two • 25%
None • 25%
One • 25%
Three or more • 25%
One • 25%
None • 25%
Three or more • 25%
Two • 25%
More than 2 • 25%
None • 25%
2 • 25%
1 • 25%
Multiple or none • 25%
Schiff only • 25%
Cheney only • 25%
Fauci only • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Medical experts • 25%
Political figures • 25%
Dr. Anthony Fauci • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Representative Adam Schiff • 25%
None of the above • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
500 to 1000 • 25%
More than 1500 • 25%
1001 to 1500 • 25%
Both • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Bennie Thompson only • 25%
Anthony Fauci • 25%
Multiple committee members • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
Neither • 25%
Other individuals not on the committee • 25%
51-100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
Former government officials • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both • 25%
Politicians • 25%