Market
Which individuals will receive preemptive pardons by January 31, 2025?
3
Biden•Anthony Fauci•Adam Schiff•Liz Cheney•White House•Donald Trump•Politico•Jonathan Martin•January 6th Committee•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
All three receive pardons • 25%
Only Fauci receives a pardon • 25%
Only Schiff receives a pardon • 25%
Only Cheney receives a pardon • 25%
Official White House announcements or credible news outlets such as Politico or The New York Times
Story
Biden Considers Extraordinary Preemptive Pardons for Fauci, Schiff, Cheney Amid Fear of Trump Prosecutions
Dec 4, 2024, 10:41 PM
The Biden administration is reportedly considering issuing preemptive pardons for certain individuals, including former National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Director Anthony Fauci, Representative Adam Schiff, and former Representative Liz Cheney. This extraordinary step is being vigorously debated among top White House aides who are deeply concerned that these figures may face investigations or prosecutions under President-elect Donald Trump's incoming administration. According to a report by Politico's Jonathan Martin, the aides are seeking to protect current and former officials, including members of the January 6th Committee, some of whom have been in Trump's crosshairs and whom he and his allies have vowed to target. The potential pardons aim to shield these individuals from possible legal actions that could be costly both financially and personally.
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Multiple or none • 25%
Cheney only • 25%
Fauci only • 25%
Schiff only • 25%
Political figures • 25%
Medical experts • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Former government officials • 25%
Politicians • 25%
Family members • 25%
Activists • 25%
Other • 25%
Political allies • 25%
None • 25%
Anthony Fauci • 25%
Adam Schiff • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Mark Milley • 25%
Dr. Anthony Fauci • 25%
Both Cheney and Fauci • 25%
Neither • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
0-5 • 25%
Hillary Clinton • 25%
Adam Schiff • 25%
Mark Milley • 25%
Other • 25%
Neither • 25%
Anthony Fauci • 25%
Bennie Thompson only • 25%
Both • 25%
Other individuals not on the committee • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
Multiple committee members • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Dr. Anthony Fauci • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
General Mark Milley • 25%
Adam Schiff • 25%
One • 25%
None • 25%
Two • 25%
Three or more • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Adam Schiff • 25%
Anthony Fauci • 25%
Mark Milley • 25%