Market
Primary US Method Against Mexican Cartels by End of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military Intervention • 25%
Covert Operations • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Official US government policy announcements or military actions
Story
Trump Considers 'Soft Invasion' of Mexico to Combat Cartels, Sparks Debate
Dec 24, 2024, 01:06 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering a military intervention in Mexico, described as a 'soft invasion,' aimed at combating Mexican drug cartels. Discussions within Trump's transition team include the possibility of covert operations to assassinate cartel leaders, according to reports from Rolling Stone. The proposal has sparked debate in Mexico, with some advocating for international cooperation to address the violence, while others, including Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, emphasize Mexico's sovereignty and reject any form of subordination to the U.S. Trump's plan to designate Mexican cartels as terrorist organizations has further divided opinions in Mexico, with opposition parties urging for collaborative efforts, and the government asserting its independence.
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Similar markets
Diplomatic cooperation with Mexico • 25%
Military action • 25%
Designation as terrorist organizations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Diplomatic cooperation with Mexico • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Unchanged cooperation • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant changes • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
Increased intelligence sharing • 25%
Significant joint operations • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
No Military Action • 25%
Naval Blockade • 25%
Ground Troops • 25%
Enhanced international cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military operations • 25%
Stricter border controls • 25%