Market
Primary responsibility for security lapse in Aschaffenburg attack by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Local police • 25%
Daycare management • 25%
Immigration authorities • 25%
Other • 25%
Official reports or investigations by German authorities
Story
Afghan Man Arrested After Knife Attack on Daycare Group in Aschaffenburg Kills Two
Jan 22, 2025, 05:49 PM
A 28-year-old Afghan man was arrested after allegedly carrying out a knife attack on a daycare group in Aschaffenburg, Germany, that left two people dead, including a two-year-old boy of Moroccan descent, and several others injured. The incident occurred on Wednesday in Schöntal park, where the suspect attacked children from a kindergarten and their caregivers. A 41-year-old man, who reportedly showed courage by intervening to protect the children, was also killed. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz condemned the attack as "an unbelievable act of terror." Authorities stated that the suspect had prior violent offenses, mental health issues, and had been ordered to leave the country after his asylum application was denied. Police are investigating the incident and have ruled out the involvement of additional suspects.
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Other • 25%
Local Police • 25%
Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution • 25%
Federal Criminal Police Office • 25%
Minor lapses identified • 25%
Significant lapses identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No lapses identified • 25%
Federal Police • 25%
State Police • 25%
Joint Task Force • 25%
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Other • 25%
Justice Minister • 25%
Interior Minister • 25%
Chancellor Olaf Scholz • 25%
United Nations • 25%
IDF • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Increased surveillance • 25%
Other security measures • 25%
Enhanced mental health support • 25%
Stricter vehicle regulations • 25%
Increased surveillance • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Enhanced public event security • 25%
Stricter immigration controls • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Russian aggression • 25%
Other • 25%
Domestic terrorism • 25%
Cyber threats • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Legislative changes • 25%
No significant action • 25%