Market
Primary reason for USAID leadership changes by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy disagreements • 25%
Administrative restructuring • 25%
External pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from USAID or reputable news sources detailing the reasons for leadership changes.
Story
Trump Administration Places 60 Senior USAID Officials on Leave Amid Foreign Aid Freeze
Jan 28, 2025, 12:24 AM
The Trump administration has placed around 60 senior career officials at the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) on administrative leave, effectively decimating the agency's leadership. The move comes after allegations that these officials attempted to circumvent President Trump's executive order, which froze all foreign aid pending a 90-day review. Acting USAID Administrator Jason Gray communicated to staff that the decision was made due to actions within the agency that appeared designed to bypass the president's directives. This action follows the State Department and USAID's compliance with the executive order to freeze almost all U.S. foreign assistance. More than 50 career civil servants, mostly at a senior level, were placed on leave effective immediately.
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Democracy, Conflict, and Humanitarian Assistance bureau • 25%
Economic Growth bureau • 25%
Other bureau • 25%
Global Health bureau • 25%
Circumvention of executive orders • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Mismanagement of funds • 25%
A former USAID official • 25%
A political appointee from outside USAID • 25%
Current Acting Administrator Jason Gray • 25%
No appointment by end of 2025 • 25%
Other • 25%
Political alignment • 25%
Performance issues • 25%
Restructuring • 25%
Political Alignment • 25%
Other • 25%
Performance Issues • 25%
Security Concerns • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Political strategy • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic considerations • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
USAID • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Department of Treasury • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership restructuring • 25%
No changes in leadership • 25%
New Director appointed • 25%
Political Stability • 25%
Humanitarian Needs • 25%
Other • 25%
Strategic Interests • 25%
Other Leadership Change • 25%
New Director-General Appointed • 25%
Interim Leadership • 25%
No Change in Leadership • 25%