Market
Primary reason for potential reinstatement of Iran sanctions by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Iran's military actions • 25%
Political pressure from Congress • 25%
International diplomatic pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government and analysis by major news outlets
Story
Biden-Harris Admin Waived $10 Billion in Iran Sanctions After Trump's Victory
Dec 10, 2024, 03:13 PM
The Biden-Harris administration waived sanctions on Iran three days after Donald Trump's victory in the November election, providing Tehran access to upwards of $10 billion in once-frozen funds, according to a non-public order transmitted to Congress. This decision has sparked controversy, with critics arguing that it undermines U.S. foreign policy and potentially strengthens Iran's ability to engage in hostile activities. The sanctions relief was granted despite Iran's actions, including firing missiles at Israel, targeting U.S. assets, and threatening the Red Sea.
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Other • 25%
Nuclear weapon development • 25%
Non-compliance with existing agreements • 25%
Political instability • 25%
Regional security concerns • 25%
Lack of cooperation with IAEA • 25%
Uranium enrichment levels • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
