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What will be the primary reason for 'snap back' sanctions on Iran by October 18, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Nuclear weapon development • 25%
Non-compliance with existing agreements • 25%
Political instability • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from the European Troika or the United Nations Security Council
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European Troika Warns of 'Snap Back' Sanctions on Iran to Prevent Nuclear Weapon Acquisition
Dec 12, 2024, 06:36 AM
Britain, France, and Germany, known as the European Troika, have informed the United Nations Security Council of their readiness to reimpose all international sanctions on Iran if necessary. This action, referred to as the 'snap back' mechanism, aims to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. The countries have expressed their willingness to activate this mechanism, which would reinstate all sanctions against Tehran, should the need arise. The move comes as part of ongoing efforts to address Iran's nuclear program, with the European nations urging Iran to reduce its nuclear activities to create a conducive political environment for meaningful progress through negotiation. The deadline for this potential action is October 18, 2025, when UN Security Council Resolution 2015 expires.
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Other • 25%
Iran's military actions • 25%
Political pressure from Congress • 25%
International diplomatic pressure • 25%
Increase in nuclear activities • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Compliance with demands • 25%
Lack of cooperation with IAEA • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Regional security concerns • 25%
Uranium enrichment levels • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Minimal economic impact • 25%
Economic growth • 25%
Significant economic decline • 25%
Moderate economic impact • 25%
Germany • 25%
No country • 25%
UK • 25%
France • 25%
