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Primary reason for Israeli delegation's success or failure in Qatar negotiations by January 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic strategy • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Internal political dynamics • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Analysis from credible news agencies or official statements
Story
Israeli Delegation Heads to Qatar for Last-Minute Hostage and Ceasefire Talks Before Trump's Inauguration
Jan 2, 2025, 06:13 PM
An Israeli delegation, including representatives from the Mossad, Shin Bet, and the Israeli military, is set to travel to Doha, Qatar on Friday for last-minute negotiations aimed at achieving a breakthrough in the hostage and ceasefire deal in Gaza. The urgency of these talks is underscored by the impending inauguration of President Donald Trump. Israeli officials have described the mission as a final attempt to make progress before the transition of power. The delegation's visit follows reports of significant progress in the negotiations, prompting Israel to send its team to Doha. Netanyahu's office confirmed the delegation's travel, and a creative new proposal has been put forward by Israel to resolve the situation.
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Need for internal consultations • 25%
Other • 25%
External pressure • 25%
Lack of progress • 25%
Hostage deal agreed • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Neither • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Mossad • 25%
IDF • 25%
ISA • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Role disputed • 25%
Major facilitator • 25%
Minor facilitator • 25%
Only Ceasefire • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
Only Hostage Release • 25%
Internal Israeli Opposition • 25%
Hamas Demands • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
External Political Pressure • 25%
Hostage deal only • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire • 25%
Neither • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%