Market
Primary outcome of US troop deployment to southern border by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant decrease in illegal crossings • 25%
Minimal impact on illegal crossings • 25%
Deployment ends without significant changes • 25%
Deployment extended • 25%
Reports from U.S. Customs and Border Protection and news outlets.
Story
U.S. Deploys 1,500 Troops, Including 500 Marines from Camp Pendleton, to Southern Border Following Executive Order
Jan 24, 2025, 06:15 PM
The U.S. Marine Corps has been deployed to the southern border with Mexico to assist U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) in securing the region, following an executive order from President Donald Trump. The deployment includes 1,500 troops, with 500 Marines from Camp Pendleton, aimed at bolstering efforts to curb illegal immigration. The White House has confirmed the arrival of the Marines, stating their mission is to 'secure America.' The troops have been reported setting up tents and deploying concertina wire at the Imperial Beach Border Patrol Station in San Diego, California, which is less than two miles from the U.S.-Mexico border. This move marks a significant increase in military presence at the border, with additional support from helicopters, personnel, and intelligence analysts to aid in detection and control efforts.
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Similar markets
No significant change • 25%
Reduction in illegal immigration • 25%
Reduction in drug trafficking • 25%
Reduction in child trafficking • 25%
Increase in illegal crossings • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduced illegal crossings • 25%
Other • 25%
Child Trafficking • 25%
Illegal Immigration • 25%
Drug Trafficking • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
5,000 to 9,999 • 25%
10,000 to 14,999 • 25%
15,000 or more • 25%
No deployment • 25%
Deployment by federal troops only • 25%
Deployment by one state • 25%
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Logistical Support • 25%
Intelligence Gathering • 25%
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Operational Readiness • 25%
More than 10,000 • 25%
7,501 to 10,000 • 25%
5,000 to 7,500 • 25%
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