Market
Primary outcome of Marine deployment at border by July 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Reduction in illegal immigration • 25%
Reduction in drug trafficking • 25%
Reduction in child trafficking • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), Department of Homeland Security (DHS), or major news outlets
Story
President Trump Deploys 1,500 U.S. Marines to Southern Border to Assist CBP
Jan 24, 2025, 05:57 PM
U.S. Marines have arrived at the southern border to assist Customs and Border Protection (CBP) in securing the area. The deployment includes approximately 1,500 troops, including 500 Marines from Camp Pendleton, supported by armored vehicles and Ospreys. The Marines are aiding efforts to combat illegal immigration, drug trafficking, and child trafficking, enhancing border security. This deployment aligns with President Trump's promise to strengthen the U.S.-Mexico border. The White House released a video showing the Marines arriving at the border.
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Similar markets
Deployment ends without significant changes • 25%
Minimal impact on illegal crossings • 25%
Significant decrease in illegal crossings • 25%
Deployment extended • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Reduced illegal crossings • 25%
Increase in illegal crossings • 25%
Other • 25%
Child Trafficking • 25%
Drug Trafficking • 25%
Illegal Immigration • 25%
Air Force • 25%
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Army • 25%
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Intelligence Gathering • 25%
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Transportation support • 25%
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Installation of barriers • 25%
Intelligence support • 25%
Increase in illegal migration • 25%
No significant change in illegal migration • 25%
Significant decrease in illegal migration • 25%
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Deployment by federal troops only • 25%
Deployment by multiple states • 25%
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No deployment • 25%
