Market
Primary Outcome of GOP Conflict Over H-1B Visa Program by 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened H-1B Support • 25%
Stricter Immigration Policies • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official GOP policy announcements and analysis by political commentators
Story
Trump Backs H-1B Visa Program Amid Musk's Defense of Sriram Krishnan and MAGA Civil War
Dec 29, 2024, 11:00 PM
The recent appointment of Sriram Krishnan, an Indian-American tech executive, as a senior policy adviser on artificial intelligence in President-elect Donald Trump's administration has ignited a fierce debate over H-1B visas. Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy have publicly defended the H-1B visa program, emphasizing its importance for technology companies reliant on skilled foreign workers. However, their support has drawn ire from far-right factions within Trump's base, leading to a rift among conservatives. Musk has declared his intention to 'go to war' to protect the H-1B program, a stance that has provoked backlash from some Trump supporters who advocate for stricter immigration policies. Trump himself has weighed in, praising the H-1B visa program and stating that it is beneficial for the U.S. economy, marking a notable shift from his previous hardline immigration stance. This internal conflict among Trump supporters highlights the complexities of immigration policy within the GOP, particularly as it relates to the tech industry and the growing demand for skilled labor.
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Other policy changes • 25%
Increase in H-1B caps • 25%
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Pro-H-1B faction prevails • 25%
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Support is evenly split • 25%
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Anti-H-1B • 25%
Decrease H-1B visas • 25%
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