Market
GOP to Shift Policy in Support of H-1B Visa Program by Mid-2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official GOP policy documents or public statements from GOP leadership
Story
Trump Backs H-1B Visa Program Amid Musk's Defense of Sriram Krishnan and MAGA Civil War
Dec 29, 2024, 11:00 PM
The recent appointment of Sriram Krishnan, an Indian-American tech executive, as a senior policy adviser on artificial intelligence in President-elect Donald Trump's administration has ignited a fierce debate over H-1B visas. Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy have publicly defended the H-1B visa program, emphasizing its importance for technology companies reliant on skilled foreign workers. However, their support has drawn ire from far-right factions within Trump's base, leading to a rift among conservatives. Musk has declared his intention to 'go to war' to protect the H-1B program, a stance that has provoked backlash from some Trump supporters who advocate for stricter immigration policies. Trump himself has weighed in, praising the H-1B visa program and stating that it is beneficial for the U.S. economy, marking a notable shift from his previous hardline immigration stance. This internal conflict among Trump supporters highlights the complexities of immigration policy within the GOP, particularly as it relates to the tech industry and the growing demand for skilled labor.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Pro-H-1B stance prevails • 25%
Anti-H-1B stance prevails • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
No significant change • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support within GOP • 25%
Increased support within GOP • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
More favorable • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority support Musk • 25%
Majority support Bannon • 25%
Support is evenly split • 25%
No clear consensus • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Oppose major reforms • 25%
Support major reforms • 25%
Other • 25%
No clear position • 25%
Pro-H-1B • 25%
Anti-H-1B • 25%
Mixed positions • 25%