Market
How will the 'MAGA civil war' over H-1B visas resolve by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Pro-H-1B faction prevails • 25%
Anti-H-1B faction prevails • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Major news reports on the resolution of internal conflicts within the MAGA movement
Story
Trump Backs Musk on H-1B Visas Amid "MAGA Civil War"
Dec 28, 2024, 08:11 PM
Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy have sparked a debate over the H-1B visa program, defending visas for highly skilled foreign workers as vital to American tech success. Musk, founder of SpaceX and Tesla, who attributes his own presence in the U.S. to the H-1B visa, has vowed to "go to war on this issue the likes of which you cannot possibly comprehend," stating that "it's the reason he's in America." He has also called some GOP opponents "hateful racists." This stance has led to backlash from some supporters of former President Donald Trump, with the media referring to the conflict as a "MAGA civil war." In response, Trump expressed his support for the H-1B visa program in an interview with the New York Post, stating he is a "believer" in bringing skilled migrant workers to the U.S. The debate has intensified divisions within the MAGA movement over immigration policy.
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Neutral stance • 25%
No consensus reached • 25%
Support H-1B visas • 25%
Oppose H-1B visas • 25%
Pro-H-1B policy adopted • 25%
Policy remains undecided • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Anti-H-1B policy adopted • 25%
Decrease H-1B visas • 25%
Increase H-1B visas • 25%
Unclear stance • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
No change in H-1B caps • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Increase in H-1B caps • 25%
Decrease in H-1B caps • 25%
Shift in focus to other issues • 25%
Resolution against H-1B visas • 25%
Resolution in favor of H-1B visas • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Majority Supportive • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
Largely Indifferent • 25%
Majority Opposed • 25%
Majority support Musk • 25%
Majority support Bannon • 25%
Support is evenly split • 25%
No clear consensus • 25%
Other • 25%
Pro-H-1B stance prevails • 25%
Anti-H-1B stance prevails • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Oppose Trump's policy • 25%
Support Trump's policy • 25%
No official response • 25%
Stricter Immigration Policies • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Strengthened H-1B Support • 25%
Musk retains influence despite Bannon's efforts • 25%
Bannon succeeds in limiting Musk's influence • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Conflict resolved amicably • 25%
Decreased support within GOP • 25%
Increased support within GOP • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%