Market
Primary Issue Influencing February 2025 German Elections?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economy • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Climate Change • 25%
Healthcare • 25%
Post-election analysis by reputable news organizations and polling data
Story
German President Dissolves Parliament, Sets Feb. 23 Snap Election After Scholz Loses Confidence Vote
Dec 27, 2024, 10:09 AM
German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier has dissolved the Bundestag and scheduled early federal elections for February 23, 2025. The decision marks Germany's first snap election in 20 years and follows Chancellor Olaf Scholz's loss of a vote of confidence on December 16, leading to the collapse of the coalition government. With the conservative opposition leading in the polls, the announcement formally sets the stage for a significant political shift. Until the elections, the Bundestag will remain dissolved.
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Immigration • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign policy/Russia • 25%
Economy • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Economic growth and inflation control • 25%
Infrastructure and defense investments • 25%
Social welfare and minimum wage increases • 25%
Tax relief and child benefits • 25%
Economic growth • 25%
Immigration policies • 25%
Environmental policies • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Economy • 25%
Other • 25%
Environmental policy • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
Looser immigration policies • 25%
Stricter immigration policies • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Traditional party wins majority • 25%
Nationalist party wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Current government retains power • 25%
Opposition wins majority • 25%
Coalition government forms • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed excluding AfD • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other • 25%
Greens • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%