Market
Primary international partner assisting HTS with chemical weapons by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United Nations • 25%
Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from international organizations or HTS
Story
Syrian Rebel Leader to Dissolve Assad's Forces, Secure Chemical Weapons, Pursue Torturers
Dec 11, 2024, 10:15 PM
Ahmad al-Sharaa, also known as Abu Mohammed al-Golani, the leader of the Syrian rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), has announced plans to dissolve the security forces of Bashar al-Assad's toppled regime and close notorious prisons. Al-Sharaa stated that his forces are working with international organizations to secure potential chemical weapons sites in Syria. He also mentioned that anyone involved in the torture or killing of detainees during Assad's rule will be pursued, and amnesties are not an option. The U.S. Department of Defense has welcomed these statements, expressing concern over the potential misuse of chemical weapons in the region.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Negative response • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
Positive cooperation • 25%
Conditional cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Arab League • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Political engagement • 25%
Humanitarian efforts • 25%
Other • 25%
Military operations • 25%
United States • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Monitoring efforts abandoned • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
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Successful monitoring and cooperation • 25%
