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Outcome of chemical weapons monitoring in Syria with HTS by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful monitoring and cooperation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
Monitoring efforts abandoned • 25%
Reports from international chemical weapons monitoring organizations
Story
HTS Ready to Cooperate on Chemical Weapons Monitoring Amid Aleppo Concerns
Dec 7, 2024, 07:02 PM
Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a Syrian rebel group, has issued a statement declaring its full readiness to cooperate with the international community in monitoring weapons and sensitive sites in Syria. This statement comes in response to concerns that chemical weapons might have been seized south of Aleppo. HTS emphasized that it has no intention or desire to use chemical weapons or any weapons of mass destruction under any circumstances, even if it takes control of such Syrian regime sites. The group also noted the Syrian regime's history of using chemical weapons during the civil war, describing such use as a crime against humanity.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No progress • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
Increased stockpiles • 25%
Security breach or incident • 25%
Successful securing of all sites • 25%
Partial securing of sites • 25%
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Negative response • 25%
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Weapons secured • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Weapons remain unsecured • 25%
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Controlled by international organizations • 25%
Secured by HTS • 25%
Misused by rebel groups • 25%
Unaccounted for • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
International coalition • 25%
Assad regime • 25%
Rebel groups • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%