Market
Primary diplomatic outcome regarding Taliban's NGO ban by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions • 25%
Increased Aid • 25%
Diplomatic Isolation • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Reports from international diplomatic meetings or official statements
Story
Taliban Reiterates Ban on Women in NGOs in Afghanistan, Threatens Closure on December 27, 2024
Dec 30, 2024, 08:14 AM
The Taliban government in Afghanistan has reiterated its ban on women working in non-governmental organizations (NGOs), threatening to close all national and foreign NGOs that continue to employ women. This directive, enforced by the Taliban's Ministry of Economy in a letter dated December 27, 2024, follows a December 2022 order. The ministry has warned that non-compliance will result in the suspension of operations and revocation of licenses for the offending NGOs. This move is part of a broader set of restrictions imposed by the Taliban, which also include barring women from many jobs, most public spaces, and education beyond the sixth grade. The Taliban's actions have drawn international condemnation and have exacerbated Afghanistan's humanitarian crisis, where female workers are crucial for delivering aid in a patriarchal society.
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Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Humanitarian aid reduction • 25%
Strengthens the ban • 25%
Modifies the ban • 25%
Reverses the ban • 25%
Ignores the call • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase aid efforts • 25%
Decrease operations • 25%
Publicly condemn • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal diplomatic recognition • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Peace talks • 25%
Another prisoner exchange • 25%
Military action • 25%