Market
Primary Blame for Potential Government Shutdown by End of 2024
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Republicans • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Neither • 25%
Public opinion polls and major news outlet analyses
Story
House Republicans Strike Deal to Avert Shutdown, Vote Set for Thursday Evening
Dec 19, 2024, 08:42 PM
House Republicans have reached a deal to avert a U.S. government shutdown, with a vote scheduled for Thursday evening. The agreement comes after a day of chaotic negotiations on Capitol Hill, as lawmakers worked to secure funding before the impending deadline at the end of Friday. Representative Tom Cole, the chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, confirmed the deal but did not disclose specific details. The urgency of the situation was heightened by President-elect Donald Trump's criticism of a previously negotiated bipartisan deal, which led to its collapse.
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House Republican leadership • 25%
Senate Majority Leader Schumer • 25%
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No shutdown • 25%
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Temporary funding bill passed • 25%
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Shutdown continues into 2025 • 25%
Debt ceiling increase only • 25%
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