Market
Primary Cause of Potential U.S. Government Shutdown Before January 20, 2024
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Disagreement over spending levels • 25%
Political strategy by Republicans • 25%
Political strategy by Democrats • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from government officials or major news outlets like CNN, BBC, or Reuters
Story
Trump Calls for Immediate Government Shutdown Under Biden Before January 20th
Dec 20, 2024, 12:59 PM
Former President Donald Trump has called for any potential government shutdown to occur immediately under the current Biden administration rather than after his inauguration on January 20th. Trump's statement, made on Truth Social, emphasizes that the responsibility for resolving the issue should fall on Biden, although he noted that Republicans would assist if possible. This comes in the context of two spending bills failing to pass in the Republican-led House of Representatives, heightening the risk of a government shutdown over the holiday period.
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Lack of Democratic Support • 25%
Presidential Veto • 25%
Other Reasons • 25%
Republican Internal Conflict • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Republicans • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Neither • 25%
Other • 25%
External Economic Factors • 25%
Political Stalemate • 25%
Budget Disagreements • 25%
Shutdown continues into 2025 • 25%
Full budget passed • 25%
Debt ceiling increase only • 25%
Temporary funding bill passed • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Neither • 25%
Republicans • 25%
Disagreement on social programs • 25%
Debt ceiling issues • 25%
Other issues • 25%
Disagreement on defense spending • 25%