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House Republicans Strike Deal to Avert Shutdown, Vote Set for Thursday Evening

Dec 19, 2024, 08:42 PM

House Republicans have reached a deal to avert a U.S. government shutdown, with a vote scheduled for Thursday evening. The agreement comes after a day of chaotic negotiations on Capitol Hill, as lawmakers worked to secure funding before the impending deadline at the end of Friday. Representative Tom Cole, the chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, confirmed the deal but did not disclose specific details. The urgency of the situation was heightened by President-elect Donald Trump's criticism of a previously negotiated bipartisan deal, which led to its collapse.

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Government Services Impacted by Funding Lapse by December 23, 2024?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Reports from government agencies or major news outlets

House Republicans' Funding Deal Approved in December 19, 2024 Vote?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official voting results from the U.S. House of Representatives

U.S. Government Shutdown Averted by December 22, 2024?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. government or major news outlets

Will Donald Trump support the new funding deal by December 20, 2024?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Public statements from Donald Trump or credible news sources

Will the House Republicans' funding deal pass on December 19, 2024?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official voting results from the U.S. House of Representatives or major news outlets

Will the U.S. government avoid a shutdown by December 20, 2024?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. Congress or major news outlets like CNN, BBC, or Reuters

Key Sticking Point in Funding Deal Negotiations by End of December 2024

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Policy riders • 25%

Bipartisan support • 25%

Other • 25%

Spending levels • 25%

Reports and analyses from major news outlets

Outcome of House Republicans' Funding Deal Vote on December 19, 2024

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

Passed with majority • 25%

Failed to pass • 25%

Postponed • 25%

Official voting results from the U.S. House of Representatives

Primary Blame for Potential Government Shutdown by End of 2024

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Both equally • 25%

Neither • 25%

Democrats • 25%

Republicans • 25%

Public opinion polls and major news outlet analyses

What will be cited as the primary reason for the funding deal's outcome in the House vote?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Partisan opposition • 25%

Leadership influence • 25%

Amendments made • 25%

Bipartisan support • 25%

Analysis and reporting from major news outlets or statements from key lawmakers

What will be the next major step in the U.S. funding process after the House vote on December 19, 2024?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Government shutdown • 25%

Senate vote scheduled • 25%

New negotiations begin • 25%

Temporary funding measure • 25%

Official announcements from the U.S. Senate or major news outlets

What will be the outcome of the House vote on the funding deal on December 19, 2024?

Republicans•Capitol Hill•Tom Cole•House Appropriations Committee•Donald Trump

Resolution / Starting Odds

Amended and passes • 25%

Postponed • 25%

Passes as proposed • 25%

Fails to pass • 25%

Official voting results from the U.S. House of Representatives or major news outlets