Market
Participants in Trump-led peace talks on Ukraine by June 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Putin, Zelensky, Trump • 25%
Putin, other leaders, Trump • 25%
Only Trump and Russian officials • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or news reports detailing the participants
Story
Putin Suggests Ukraine Crisis Could Have Been Avoided if Trump Had Won in 2020
Jan 24, 2025, 03:34 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly suggested that the Ukrainian crisis might have been avoided if Donald Trump had won the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Putin implied that under Trump's leadership, the circumstances leading to the 2022 conflict may not have arisen. He also expressed a readiness to discuss the war with Trump.
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No negotiations initiated • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Xi Jinping • 25%
Putin • 25%
Partial agreement on certain issues • 25%
Negotiations postponed indefinitely • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other country • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
China • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%