Market
Outcome of Zelensky-Trump meeting on Ukraine conflict by Feb 28, 2025?
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Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Donald Trump•Ukraine•Lex Fridman•Zelensky•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Agreement on increased military aid • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the US or Ukrainian government, or major news outlets
Story
Zelensky Confident Trump Can End War, Anticipates Meeting to Secure US Guarantees
Jan 5, 2025, 09:17 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed confidence that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump can end the war in Ukraine due to his influence and the respect he commands among world leaders. In an interview with Lex Fridman, Zelensky stated that he looks forward to meeting Trump soon after his inauguration, possibly on January 25, to discuss ways to stop Russian President Vladimir Putin's aggression. He suggested it would be symbolic for Trump to be the first leader to fly into Ukraine by plane after the war ends. Zelensky emphasized that security guarantees from the United States are essential for any effective resolution to the conflict and that Ukraine is open to a ceasefire if it receives the necessary weapons to repel future attacks.
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No significant change • 25%
Reduction in military aid • 25%
Commitment to peace negotiations • 25%
Increased U.S. support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Security guarantees announced • 25%
Peace agreement announced • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Formal security guarantees provided • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement to further discussions • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
Full Agreement Reached • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Meeting Postponed/Cancelled • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Meeting canceled • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
No agreement • 25%
No agreement on further meetings • 25%
Agreement to hold a summit • 25%
Joint statement on Ukraine • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Continued Negotiations • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%