Market
Outcome of U.S.-Iran negotiations on waiver by December 31, 2025?
3
Biden•Iran•Donald Trump•election•Iraq•Antony Blinken•United States•Republican•Hamas•Hezbollah•Tehran•Iraqi•American
Resolution / Starting Odds
Waiver Maintained • 25%
Waiver Revoked • 25%
Waiver Modified • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Official U.S. and Iran government statements and negotiation outcomes
Story
Biden Extends $10B Iran Sanctions Waiver Amid Republican Outcry
Dec 11, 2024, 04:00 PM
In a move that has sparked controversy, the Biden administration extended a $10 billion sanctions waiver for Iran just two days after Donald Trump won the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The waiver, which allows Iran to access approximately $10 billion in funds from Iraq, was justified by Secretary of State Antony Blinken as serving the 'national security interest of the United States.' Critics, including Republican lawmakers, argue that this decision will funnel money to Iran, potentially supporting terrorism, as Iran backs proxy groups like Hamas and Hezbollah. The waiver was tweaked last year to permit Tehran to convert Iraqi dinars to euros and hold those euros in bank accounts. This action has been criticized as rewarding Iran's terrorist regime and undermining American interests.
View original story
Similar markets
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks initiated • 25%
Talks rejected • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
New diplomatic agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Significant growth • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Moderate growth • 25%
Negotiations with no agreement • 25%
Comprehensive agreement • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Formal resolution passed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Informal statement issued • 25%
