Market
Outcome of Trump's efforts on Ukraine conflict by January 20, 2026
2
Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•US•Donald Trump•Russia•Zelensky•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Russian Federation
Resolution / Starting Odds
Conflict ends • 25%
Conflict de-escalates • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Official announcements from the White House, Ukrainian government, or Russian government; reports from international news agencies
Story
Zelensky: Trump Could Be Decisive in Ending War, Stopping Putin
Jan 3, 2025, 08:29 AM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, in an interview aired on Thursday, expressed hope that US President-elect Donald Trump's unpredictability could help end the nearly three-year war with Russia. Zelensky said that Trump could be 'decisive' in the outcome of the conflict and could help stop Russian President Vladimir Putin. He described Trump as 'strong and unpredictable' and stated, 'I would very much like President Trump's unpredictability to be directed primarily toward the Russian Federation.' Trump, who will be inaugurated on January 20, has previously claimed he would end the war 'in 24 hours.'
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