Market
Outcome of Secret Service Butler incident investigation by June 30, 2025?
1
Donald Trump•Sean Curran•Kimberly Cheatle•Trump•Butler•Pennsylvania•Curran•Butler incident•Ronald Rowe•Secret Service
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant issues found • 25%
Minor procedural errors • 25%
Significant procedural failures • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation report or findings released by the U.S. Secret Service or Department of Homeland Security
Story
Trump to Appoint Sean Curran as New Secret Service Director Following Butler Incident
Jan 17, 2025, 10:51 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to appoint Sean Curran, the current head of his protective detail, as the new director of the U.S. Secret Service. This decision follows the resignation of former director Kimberly Cheatle in July 2024, after an assassination attempt on Trump's life during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Curran, who has a close personal relationship with Trump and oversees a team of about 85 agents, was present during the Butler incident. The move to replace acting director Ronald Rowe with Curran is anticipated to be announced before Monday, according to multiple sources. The Secret Service has faced criticism for its handling of the assassination attempt, with reports indicating that Curran had been advocating for increased security resources prior to the incident.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant changes recommended • 25%
Leadership changes recommended • 25%
Both leadership and operational changes recommended • 25%
Operational changes recommended • 25%
Multiple employees disciplined • 25%
No disciplinary actions • 25%
Leadership changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Major reforms recommended • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant issues found • 25%
Minor changes suggested • 25%
No changes • 25%
Major restructuring • 25%
Other • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Agent dismissed • 25%
Agent reprimanded • 25%
Justified use of force • 25%
Identified but not arrested • 25%
Not identified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Identified and arrested • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Justified action • 25%
Disciplinary action against agent • 25%
Policy change recommended • 25%
No major changes implemented • 25%
Other recommendations • 25%
Director Rowe is dismissed • 25%
Secret Service is restructured • 25%
Policy changes announced • 25%
Internal review conducted • 25%
No official response • 25%
Public apology issued • 25%