Market
Outcome of President Yoon's impeachment proceedings by December 31, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Proceedings not concluded • 25%
Official records from the South Korean National Assembly
Story
Ruling Party Chief Urges President Yoon's Suspension After Martial Law Attempt, Alleged Arrest Orders
Dec 6, 2024, 02:15 AM
South Korea's ruling party leader, Han Dong-hoon, has called for the swift suspension of President Yoon Suk Yeol from office following an attempted imposition of martial law that lasted just six hours. Han warned that if President Yoon remains in power, citizens could be in "great danger" and there is a "significant risk" of extreme actions similar to the martial law declaration being repeated. He further alleged that credible evidence suggests Yoon tried to order the arrest of opposition politicians during the brief period of martial law. While Han stopped short of urging members to vote for impeachment, the People Power Party's shift in stance increases the likelihood of an impeachment motion against President Yoon over his actions.
View original story
Similar markets
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Yoon resigns before conclusion • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Trial postponed indefinitely • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Reinstated • 33%
Other resolution • 34%
Removed from office • 33%
Impeachment fails • 33%
Impeachment passes • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Warrant invalidated • 25%
Arrest executed • 25%
Passed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No Vote • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Case dismissed • 34%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passes • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeachment Fails • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%