Market
Outcome of NATO-Russia diplomatic engagement on Baltic incidents by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official NATO or Russian government statements
Story
Netherlands, Finland, and Sweden Use F-35 Jets to Intercept Russian Aircraft with Supersonic Missiles Over Baltic Sea
Dec 18, 2024, 03:07 PM
The Netherlands, in coordination with Finland and Sweden, intercepted Russian aircraft equipped with supersonic missiles over the Baltic Sea on Tuesday, according to the Dutch Defense Minister. The operation involved Dutch F-35 fighter jets intercepting two Russian Tu-22M3 bombers and two Su-27 fighters. The Dutch Defense Minister stated that the Russian aircraft were escorted along NATO airspace, marking another instance of Dutch F-35s intercepting Russian planes in the region since the beginning of December.
View original story
Similar markets
No talks held • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Increased patrols • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No official response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No engagement occurs • 25%
Engagement without escalation • 25%
Major military conflict • 25%
Limited military conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military exercises • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased patrols • 25%
No action • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Concluded • 25%
Continued with increased scope • 25%
Continued with current scope • 25%
Scaled down • 25%