Market
Outcome of Legal Challenges Against Martial Law in South Korea by End of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Martial law deemed unconstitutional • 25%
Martial law upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings or legal announcements from South Korean judiciary or reputable news outlets
Story
President Yoon Lifts Martial Law After Unanimous Parliament Vote in South Korea
Dec 3, 2024, 07:44 PM
In a late-night announcement on Tuesday, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law to combat "anti-state forces." The democratic-led parliament swiftly convened and, with 190 of its 300 members present, unanimously voted on Wednesday to lift the short-lived martial law declaration. National Assembly Speaker Woo Won Shik declared that lawmakers "will protect democracy with the people." Initially resistant, President Yoon announced after a Cabinet meeting that he would honor the legislature's decision and lift the martial law. The rapid reversal underscores tensions between the executive and legislative branches over emergency powers in the democratic nation.
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Other significant outcome • 25%
Martial law lifted • 25%
Government overthrown • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
Government transition • 25%
Ongoing unrest • 25%
Martial law lifted • 25%
Martial law extended • 25%
Martial law leads to political resolution • 25%
Martial law escalates to civil unrest • 25%
Martial law lifted peacefully • 25%
Other • 25%
Major political upheaval • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Minor political changes • 25%
Government stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Protests • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Additional indictments • 25%
No further action • 25%
Policy reforms • 25%
Public inquiry • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Plea Bargain • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
No Decision by Date • 25%
Warrant Overturned • 25%
Warrant Modified • 25%
Warrant Upheld • 25%
Strengthens opposition • 25%
Strengthens ruling party • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other impact • 25%
