Market
South Korean government's action on martial law investigation by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No further action • 25%
Additional indictments • 25%
Policy reforms • 25%
Public inquiry • 25%
Official announcements from South Korean government or judicial authorities
Story
South Korean Army Commander Park An-su and Special Warfare Commander Kwak Jong-keun Indicted Over December 3rd Emergency Martial Law
Jan 3, 2025, 03:08 AM
Prosecutors in South Korea have indicted two high-ranking military officials, Army Commander Park An-su and Special Warfare Commander Kwak Jong-keun, for their alleged involvement in the imposition of emergency martial law in December. The indictments come amid ongoing investigations into the actions of military and civilian leaders under President Yoon Seok-yeol's administration. The martial law was enacted on December 3rd and has drawn significant scrutiny regarding its legality and the decisions made by those in command during that period.
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Government transition • 25%
Martial law lifted • 25%
Ongoing unrest • 25%
Martial law extended • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor violations found • 25%
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Criminal charges recommended • 25%
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Strengthens ruling party • 25%
Strengthens opposition • 25%
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Martial law leads to political resolution • 25%
Martial law escalates to civil unrest • 25%
Martial law lifted peacefully • 25%
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Rebellion • 25%
Abuse of Power • 25%
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