Market
Outcome of Keith Kellogg's peace plan by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Keith Kellogg•Ukraine•Russia•Kellogg•Trump•UN•No Fly Zone•Putin•Moscow•Kyiv•Russian•Konstantin Malofeyev
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Plan rejected by Russia • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Reports from international organizations like the UN or major news agencies such as Reuters or AP.
Story
Trump Appoints Keith Kellogg as Special Envoy for Ukraine-Russia Conflict, Putin Likely to Reject Peace Plan
Dec 2, 2024, 12:57 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has appointed General Keith Kellogg as the U.S. special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, a role where he will be tasked with managing U.S. policy towards the ongoing conflict. Kellogg, previously Trump's Chief of Staff, suggested a UN mandated No Fly Zone in Ukraine. His peace plan includes ending the isolation of Russia by establishing diplomatic relations and ceasing the demonization of President Putin. His main proposals involve pressuring both Moscow and Kyiv to agree on a ceasefire and initiate peace talks, offering incentives to Russia. However, Russian President Putin is likely to reject this plan, according to Russian oligarch and conservative media tycoon Konstantin Malofeyev, who indicated that Moscow would demand concessions from the U.S. beyond just Ukraine. Analysts in Kyiv have described Kellogg's appointment as an acceptable and reasonable choice for Ukraine, despite not being ideal.
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