Market
Outcome of investigations into COVID-19 origins and Biden administration's role by end of 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lab leak confirmed • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Reports from US government agencies or major media investigations
Story
Biden Administration Allegedly Covered Up COVID-19 Lab Leak Evidence from FBI, DIA, and Jason Bannan in 2021
Dec 26, 2024, 10:32 PM
Recent reports highlight a cover-up by the Biden administration regarding the origins of COVID-19, specifically the lab leak theory. Intelligence agencies, including the FBI and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), had evidence suggesting that COVID-19 was manipulated in a laboratory linked to the People's Liberation Army in Wuhan. However, this information was reportedly suppressed, as key scientists from these agencies were excluded from a briefing with President Biden in 2021. Former FBI scientist Jason Bannan revealed that he was prepared to present this evidence but was never given the opportunity. The Wall Street Journal's investigation indicates that disagreements among intelligence experts about the virus's origins were deeper than previously known, with some officials advocating for the lab leak hypothesis while others promoted a natural origin narrative. This situation has raised concerns about the politicization of intelligence and the transparency of the Biden administration's handling of COVID-19's origins.
View original story
Similar markets
No definitive conclusion • 25%
Refutes lab leak • 25%
Confirms lab leak • 25%
Calls for more research • 25%
Further investigation recommended • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Acknowledgement and apology • 25%
No official response • 25%
Denial of allegations • 25%
Acknowledgement with justification • 25%
No suppression found • 25%
Evidence confirmed suppressed • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Confirmed lab leak • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed natural origin • 25%
Natural Zoonotic Origin • 25%
Other • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Lab Leak Theory • 25%
Rejects lab leak theory • 25%
Addresses censorship accusations • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No official response • 25%
EcoHealth Alliance • 25%
Wuhan Institute of Virology • 25%
NIH • 25%
No specific accountability • 25%
Diplomatic actions against China • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Public inquiry or hearings • 25%
New regulations on research funding • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official recognition of lab leak theory • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Policy changes regarding NIH research funding • 25%