Market
Outcome of investigation into NJ drone sightings by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified as Security Threat • 25%
Technical Malfunction • 25%
Hoax or False Alarm • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Official investigation reports or government announcements
Story
FAA Bans Drones Over 22 New Jersey Sites, Warns of Deadly Force for Security Threats
Dec 19, 2024, 04:12 PM
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has issued a temporary ban on drone flights over 22 critical infrastructure locations in New Jersey due to 'special security reasons'. The ban, effective until January 17, applies to sites including power stations and military installations. Exceptions require special government approval. The FAA warns that drones posing an 'imminent security threat' may be met with 'deadly force'. The decision comes after weeks of unexplained drone sightings and reports of mysterious bright lights filling the night skies, causing concerns among residents and airlines about potential safety risks during the busy holiday travel season.
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Inconclusive • 25%
Linked to a domestic source • 25%
Linked to a foreign adversary • 25%
No foreign involvement • 25%
Classified outcome • 25%
Identified source • 25%
No conclusive source found • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Identified as commercial activity • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%
Identified as recreational use • 25%
Foreign origin • 25%
Hoax or misinformation • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Domestic origin • 25%
Drones deemed harmless • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Drones pose a security threat • 25%
Domestic entity involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Foreign government involvement • 25%
Identified as a foreign entity • 25%
Source remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as a domestic entity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Identified as a security threat • 25%
Identified as harmless hobbyist activity • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Identified but non-threatening • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Security threat identified • 25%
No significant threat • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%
Cause remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as hobbyist activity • 25%
Identified as domestic activity • 25%