Market
Outcome of France's military operations against ISIS in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Sébastien Lecornu•French•ISIS•Syria•French Air Force•Rafale•Reaper•Operation Inherent Resolve•France•Iraq•Syrian Badiya
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in ISIS presence • 25%
Minimal impact on ISIS presence • 25%
Increase in ISIS activities • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reports from international military coalitions and French Defense Ministry
Story
France Launches Seven Airstrikes on ISIS in Central Syria Using Rafale Jets and Reaper Drone
Dec 31, 2024, 10:55 AM
French Defense Minister Sébastien Lecornu announced that French forces conducted targeted airstrikes against ISIS positions in Syria on Sunday. The French Air Force deployed Rafale fighter jets and a Reaper drone to launch seven bombs against ISIS caches in central Syria. The strikes were part of Operation Inherent Resolve, the international coalition against ISIS in which France has participated since 2014 in Iraq and 2015 in Syria. Footage of the operation was released, demonstrating France's continued commitment to combating terrorism in the Syrian Badiya region.
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ISIS gains strength • 25%
Indeterminate outcome • 25%
ISIS significantly weakened • 25%
ISIS maintains current strength • 25%
ISIS leadership captured/killed • 25%
Withdrawal without major gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Cyber operations • 25%
Ground troop deployment • 25%
Successful asset reclamation • 25%
Establishment of diplomatic relations • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
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Continued detention in Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Transfer to a third country • 25%
Repatriation of citizens • 25%
Stalemate with ISIS • 25%
ISIS resurgence • 25%
Complete defeat of ISIS • 25%
Significant degradation of ISIS • 25%