Market
Main action by France on citizens in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Turkish•Hakan Fidan•France•Syria•Washington•Turkey•Fidan•Syrian Democratic Forces•SDF•Kurdish•French•Syrian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Repatriation of citizens • 25%
Continued detention in Syria • 25%
Transfer to a third country • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the French government or international news agencies
Story
Turkey Urges France to Repatriate Citizens from Syria Amid PKK/YPG Threat, Rejects SDF Proposal
Jan 10, 2025, 09:55 AM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has urged France to repatriate its citizens who are imprisoned in Syria for terrorism, emphasizing that Washington is Turkey's sole interlocutor regarding the situation in northeastern Syria, where Turkey is considering a military operation against the PKK/YPG threat. Fidan criticized France for not taking responsibility for its own nationals and for relying on the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), which are dominated by Kurdish fighters, to detain these individuals. He dismissed a proposal by the SDF to deploy French troops along the Syrian border, stating that Turkey does not take seriously countries that attempt to advance their interests in Syria by hiding behind U.S. power. Fidan suggested that if France wants to act in Syria, it should first handle its own citizens detained there, and he questioned the sincerity of the Kurdish administration's intentions.
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Increased economic investment • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Stronger diplomatic ties • 25%
Enhanced military cooperation • 25%
Increase in ISIS activities • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significant reduction in ISIS presence • 25%
Minimal impact on ISIS presence • 25%
Successful asset reclamation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Establishment of diplomatic relations • 25%
ISIS significantly weakened • 25%
Indeterminate outcome • 25%
ISIS gains strength • 25%
ISIS maintains current strength • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Formal diplomatic recognition • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Positive reception • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Negative reception • 25%
Neutral reception • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant agreements • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement only • 25%
Full diplomatic relations established • 25%