Market
Outcome of Donald Trump Jr.'s Greenland Visit by End of 2025
2
France•Germany•Donald Trump•European Union•Greenland•Denmark•EU•French•Europe•German•Steffen Hebestreit•Trump•Panama Canal•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased US-Greenland tensions • 25%
Improved US-Greenland relations • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or credible news reports
Story
France and Germany Warn Trump Against Military Action on EU's Greenland, Amid Trump Jr. Visit
Jan 8, 2025, 12:28 PM
France and Germany have issued warnings to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump against threatening the European Union's 'sovereign borders' following his refusal to rule out military action to take control of Greenland, an autonomous territory of Denmark, a member of the EU. French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot emphasized that the EU would not tolerate attacks on its territories, describing Europe as a strong continent that needs to strengthen itself further. German government spokesman Steffen Hebestreit echoed this sentiment, stating that borders must not be moved by force. Trump's comments, which included not ruling out military or economic measures to gain control over Greenland and the Panama Canal, have stirred controversy and concern among European leaders. These statements coincide with a private visit by Donald Trump Jr. to Greenland, highlighting the ongoing territorial sovereignty issues.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Greenland gains independence • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Greenland joins U.S. • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
Purchase negotiations ongoing • 25%
Purchase negotiations terminated • 25%
No official negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiate • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Greenland holds referendum • 25%
No proposal made • 25%
Rejected by Denmark • 25%
Under negotiation • 25%
Accepted by Denmark • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Formal rejection by Denmark/Greenland • 25%
No formal action taken • 25%