Market
Legal challenges filed against Trump's gender transition ban for minors by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official court records and legal news outlets
Story
Trump Signs Order Banning Gender Transitions for Minors Under Age 19
Jan 28, 2025, 10:27 PM
On January 28, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order titled "Protecting Children from Chemical and Surgical Mutilation," aimed at restricting gender transition procedures for individuals under the age of 19 in the United States. The executive order prohibits federal funding, support, or promotion of gender transition treatments for minors, including surgeries and hormone therapies. It affects federally funded health insurance programs such as Medicaid and directs federal agencies to rigorously enforce all laws that prohibit or limit these procedures. The order states that the United States "will not fund, sponsor, promote, assist, or support the so-called 'transition' of a child from one sex to another." President Trump described the trend of gender transitions for minors as a "dangerous trend" that "will be a stain on our Nation’s history, and it must end."
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No Challenges • 25%
1-5 Challenges • 25%
6-10 Challenges • 25%
More than 10 Challenges • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
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Major challenges • 34%
Some challenges • 33%