Market
Increase in legal challenges against sanctuary laws by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court records and legal filings in federal courts
Story
Justice Department Directs Federal Prosecutors to Investigate Officials Obstructing Immigration Enforcement Under Trump Administration, Memo Obtained by AP
Jan 22, 2025, 01:45 PM
The Justice Department is instructing federal prosecutors to investigate state or local officials who obstruct enhanced enforcement of immigration laws under the Trump administration. This directive, outlined in a memo obtained by the Associated Press, emphasizes a crackdown on individuals or jurisdictions that impede immigration enforcement efforts. The memo, which has been disseminated to the entire workforce, signals a potential increase in legal challenges against sanctuary laws that protect undocumented immigrants. The directive reflects the administration's commitment to bolster immigration enforcement measures.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No lawsuits filed • 25%
Both federal and state lawsuits filed • 25%
Federal lawsuit filed • 25%
State lawsuit filed • 25%
Settled out of court • 25%
Sanctuary laws upheld • 25%
Federal government wins • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partially Overturned • 25%
No significant rulings • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Fully Overturned • 25%
6-10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
None • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
Decrease in sanctuary cities • 25%
Reversal of sanctuary policies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in sanctuary cities • 25%
No change • 25%
Strengthening of policies • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
Weakening of policies • 25%
Operations Partially Blocked • 25%
Operations Partially Upheld • 25%
Operations Fully Upheld • 25%
Operations Fully Blocked • 25%