Market
How many legal challenges will be filed against Trump's immigration executive orders by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Court records and legal filings in federal courts
Story
Trump to Issue 100 Executive Orders for Largest Deportation Operation, Prompting Self-Deportations
Jan 17, 2025, 01:03 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to launch a significant immigration crackdown on his first day in office, with plans to issue over 100 executive orders. These orders are expected to initiate what Trump has described as the 'largest deportation operation in U.S. history.' The actions will target various groups, including immigrants with criminal records, those with final deportation orders, and individuals with temporary protections such as Temporary Protected Status (TPS) and those who used the CBP One app for legal entry. Trump's administration aims to reverse Biden-era policies, including reinstating Title 42 and ending programs like the humanitarian parole for immigrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela. The incoming administration's plans have already prompted some immigrants to leave the U.S. in what is being referred to as 'self-deportations,' driven by fears of Trump's mass deportation promises.
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Similar markets
Less than 50 • 25%
150 or more • 25%
100 to 149 • 25%
50 to 99 • 25%
No significant challenges • 25%
Some challenges, none successful • 25%
Some challenges, some successful • 25%
Majority of challenges successful • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Fully blocked • 25%
Partially blocked • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Upheld in full • 25%
All blocked • 25%
All upheld • 25%
Some upheld, some blocked • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Department of Energy • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Other • 25%
3-5 Challenges • 25%
No Challenges • 25%
More than 5 Challenges • 25%
1-2 Challenges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Policies partially struck down • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Policies completely struck down • 25%
Policies upheld • 25%
Proposals struck down • 25%
Proposals partially upheld • 25%
Proposals upheld in court • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
More than 10 significant legal challenges • 25%
6-10 significant legal challenges • 25%
1-5 significant legal challenges • 25%